After I initially pondered at these Ultimate Fighting Championship gambling lines I had to consider a another look. I cannot believe that The Pitbull (22-6) is the online betting favorite. I might have though the betting lines would be -110 for both MMA fighters. Jon Fitch is the most under rated UFC fighter in the UFC in Fitch (25-3) who's already fought and won Thiago at UFC: Ultimate Fight Night 5 by KO (blank). The rationale Jon Fitch is not the online betting favorite is in his last mixed martial arts match at with Mike Pierce he went the to the judges score cards. Fitch is not a glamorous MMA fighter and he does not have outstanding wins but he is a professional all around UFC martial artist. He is like Dan Henderson and wins fights through attrition and going the distance. Out of his 21 wins eleven have been be decision with his last six UFC matches decided upon the judges. Remember that Jon Fitch has faced head on top rated level UFC martial artists and has only dr opped to GSP Wilson Gouveia, and his initial mixed martial arts fight as opposed to Mike Pyle. The quantity of fighters he has beaten is extraordinary with victories over Paulo Thiago, Akihiro Gono at UFC 94: St-Pierre vs. Penn 2, Chris Wilson, Diego Sanchez at UFC 76: Knockout, Roan Carneiro at UFC Fight Night: Stout vs. Fisher, Josh Burkman, Brock Larson, and The Pitbull. Before his loss to Georges St Pierre, Fitch was on a sixteen fight winning streak everyone and anyone. He mastered them all and it proved that he could match up MMA from vantage point. The Pitbull is a proven better striker He is known for his striking abilities with 16 out of his 22 wins coming by knock out. Yes he can KO most practitioners however, if you have a look at Jon Fitch's battles he has only been knocked out once and that was to Gouveia who fights in the light heavyweight division. If you check out his struggle with GSP, Fitch was defeated on for 5 rounds. He was struck with hard shots. If you witnessed that MMA fight you could not consider the abuse Jon Fitch was receiving; yet he still got up and fought. With that kind of heart I don't see The Pitbull being able to put Fitch away. Thiago will strike himself out before he is able to knockout Jon Fitch. The Pitbull is not generally known as a martial artist that could begin the later MMA rounds but his has been able to remove guys. He's a 2nd round fighter and when he goes past the second rounds he begins to fade. He might be able to get his shots however, you can't knock out the heart of Fitch. In the 1st battle between the two Alves was taking the match and he roughly knocked out Fitch but finally Fitch turned it around and wound up knocking out the American Top Team MMA fighter late in the 2nd round. Jon dominates Alves in wrestling. Jon Fitch have the opportunity to take Thiago down thanks to his excellent wrestling. Fitch was a member of the Purdue wrestling team, a 4-year letter-man and was underneath Tom Erikson and became the team captain of his wrestling squad. He will have the take-down points but Alves does possess a good sprawl and even St Pierre had difficulties controlling Alves down once he got the takedown
The key reason why Thiago is the sports betting favorite is because Fitch had a poor performance in his last MMA fight Fitch won the battle by decision but he had a challenging outing vs. Mike Pierce at UFC 107: Penn vs. Sanchez. This MMA fight will likely go to judge's decision since most of Jon Fitch's MMA fights go the distance and a good wager is a novelty wager for this fight to go the distance. Jon Fitch will win this match up on takedown points and he will accumulate some shots on the ground. He won't be able hold Alves but Fitch will score the tallies. The Pitbull will start off speedy but will gas out late in the 2nd round and into the third and that when Jon will win the fight.
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